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YOUR CANADIAN MORTGAGE BROKER

November 3, 2010

Canada's real estate market outlook for 2011 “decent”: PwC


2011 promises slowing, steady growth and decent prospects for Canadian real estate investors as long as the U.S. economy does not drag them down, according to the Emerging Trends in Real Estate 2011 report, released by PwC and the Urban Land Institute (ULI). The report reflects interviews with and surveys of more than 875 of the industry's leading real estate experts, including investors, developers, lenders, brokers and consultants in both Canada and the U.S.

According to the report, Canadian property owners and financial institutions cannot help contrasting their reasonably healthy condition with precarious U.S. markets. Canadian fundamentals trend near equilibrium, employment is recovering and banks boast sound balance sheets, putting Canada in a better place and boosting confidence that the local market can escape issues faced in the U.S. However respondents say a weak U.S. dollar and sputtering U.S. economy dampen cross-border commerce, especially hurting Ontario industrial markets, which serve Midwestern U.S. manufacturing centres.

"The big difference for Canada has been the sound condition of its banks," said Chris Potter, leader of the Real Estate Tax practice for PwC Canada. "We have no distressed banks and few distressed owners and sales. Now, rising interest rates coupled with tight bank requirements and broader economic concerns tamper down a recent home buying spurt, particularly in Ontario and B.C., where purchasers stepped up activity before HST went into effect."

While capital returns, investment opportunities will be limited. Institutions dominate the major central city markets, holding on to assets for steady income instead of trading. Emerging Trends respondents exemplify the hold-on mentality: they think it is a good time to buy, but do not want to sell. In this "compressing cap rate" environment, many deal-starved Canadians will be active in the U.S., where they should have greater opportunity to spend and find higher yields.

Canada has one of the world's healthiest capital markets and few borrowers confront refinancing issues. Overall in 2011, Emerging Trends respondents expect a reasonable balance in debt market capital availability and an oversupply of equity capital, the result of non-satiated buyers.

Click HERE for the complete article.


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October 19, 2011; Since 2008 the government of Canada has made mandatory changes to reduce the maximum amortization period from 40 years down to 35 and now down to 30 years for any insured mortgages.

Insured mortgages (also known as high ratio mortgages) are mortgages that require less than 20% of the value of the home for the down payment or for refinancing, less than 20% in equity. The government backs these mortgages for the protection of the lenders. Currently with these mortgages the maximum amortization period is 30 years.

The media has covered how the amortization has been reduced to 30 years in depth, but they have failed to mention that this is not the case with other mortgage options. Mortgages that are often referred to as conventional or uninsured mortgages, which entail a 20% or greater down payment or equity, still offer amortization periods of up to 40 years. [ Read more... ]

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